Mamdani surges ahead of rivals in NYC mayoral race

By Jerry McConway, 
updated on September 12, 2025

Zohran Mamdani, a 33-year-old self-proclaimed democratic socialist, is steamrolling his rivals in the race to become New York City mayor. Two fresh polls show him commanding a hefty lead with less than two months until Election Day as Fox News reports. His progressive agenda, while energizing some, raises eyebrows among those wary of its bold promises.

Polls from Quinnipiac University and the New York Times/Siena College, conducted in early September, reveal Mamdani holding 45-46% support among likely voters, with a 22-point edge over former Gov. Andrew Cuomo. Trailing further are Republican Curtis Sliwa at 15% and incumbent Mayor Eric Adams at 12%, both struggling to gain traction. Mamdani’s lead suggests a city craving change, though his policies spark debate.

Mamdani, a Ugandan-born state lawmaker from Queens, clinched the Democratic nomination in June, outpacing Cuomo and nine others. His campaign, fueled by grassroots enthusiasm and endorsements from progressive heavyweights like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Bernie Sanders, leaned heavily on affordability issues. Yet, his proposals, like free CUNY tuition and eliminating bus fares, strike some as utopian overreach.

Mamdani’s progressive vision spurs debate

Speaking at a canvass launch on Aug. 17, Mamdani rallied supporters with promises to freeze rents and offer free childcare. His savvy use of TikTok has drawn in younger, low-propensity voters, giving his campaign a vibrant edge. Critics, however, question whether his government-run grocery store plan is practical or a step toward overregulation.

Cuomo, who resigned as governor in 2021 amid multiple scandals, is running as an independent after losing the Democratic Party primary. Polls show him at 23-24%, a distant second to Mamdani, with his Aug. 4 press conference failing to reignite voter enthusiasm. His experience is undeniable, but baggage from his past looms large.

Curtis Sliwa, the Guardian Angels co-founder and Republican nominee, holds 15% support despite New York’s Democrat tilt. Interviewed by Fox News Digital on Aug. 18, he vowed to stay in the race, rejecting rumors of dropping out for a Trump administration role. His tenacity is admirable, but the numbers suggest an uphill battle.

Adams’ struggles, Trump's influence

Incumbent Mayor Eric Adams, now running as an independent after skipping the Democratic Party primary, lags at 12%. Launching his re-election bid on June 26, Adams faces dismal approval ratings, with two-thirds of voters disapproving of his leadership. His decision to go solo seems less bold than desperate.

President Donald Trump, a native New Yorker who now considers Florida his home, has stirred the pot, urging candidates to consolidate to defeat Mamdani, whom he labels a communist. “I would like to see two people drop out and have it be one on one,” Trump said, pushing for a united front. His meddling, while strategic, risks alienating voters who value choice.

Polls suggest Mamdani’s supporters are far more enthusiastic, with 91% backing him fervently compared to 75-79% for his rivals. This passion gap, noted by Quinnipiac’s Mary Snow, gives Mamdani a clear edge. But enthusiasm alone doesn’t guarantee governance that won’t bankrupt the city.

Polls highlight voter priorities

The Quinnipiac poll, conducted Sept. 4-8, shows crime as the top concern for 30% of voters, followed by affordable housing at 21% and inflation at 13%. Mamdani’s focus on housing aligns with voter priorities, but his softer stance on crime raises red flags for those craving safety. A majority want a mayor who’ll stand up to Trump on immigration and crime, not cozy up.

The New York Times/Siena poll, conducted Sept. 2-6, shows Mamdani edging Cuomo 48-44% in a two-candidate scenario. If Adams exits, Mamdani’s lead over Cuomo widens to 46-30%, with Sliwa at 17%. These numbers signal a tough road for anyone hoping to derail Mamdani’s momentum.

“Mamdani has the wind at his back,” said Quinnipiac’s Snow, highlighting his strong position. But wind can shift, and voters may yet question whether his progressive promises are sustainable. New Yorkers, fed up with high costs, might still balk at his bold experiments.

Historic scenario meets skepticism

If Mamdani wins, he’d be the first Muslim and millennial mayor of America’s largest city. His historic candidacy excites some but worries others who see his youth and ideology as untested. Experience matters in a city as complex as New York.

Over two-thirds of voters are dissatisfied with the city’s direction, per the polls. This unrest fuels Mamdani’s rise but also underscores the stakes: New Yorkers want results, not just rhetoric. His focus on affordability resonates, but execution is another matter.

As Election Day nears, Mamdani’s lead seems formidable, but the race isn’t over. Sliwa and Adams remain defiant, and Cuomo’s name recognition keeps him in play. New Yorkers must weigh bold change against proven, if flawed, leadership.

About Jerry McConway

Jerry McConway is the Senior Editorial Director at American Digest Media, as well as the featured columnist on Real Talk Digest. He has been covering politics for more than a decade. His no-nonsense writing style makes him enemy number one in DC. His mission is to tell the truth to readers, good or bad, something the mainstream media has failed to do for decades. What sets Jerry apart from his competition is reader loyalty. They don't always agree with him, but they know he tells them the truth. Love him or hate him, you can't ignore him.
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