California primary exposes Democratic rift as party leaders bypass Latino challenger in key House race

By Alex Tanzer
updated on May 22, 2026

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee picked a side in one of California's most competitive House races, and the losing side is furious. The DCCC's decision to back moderate State Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains over progressive Latino candidate Randy Villegas in the state's 22nd Congressional District has ignited an intraparty fight that lays bare the tensions eating at the Democratic coalition from the inside out.

The district, which stretches from Bakersfield to the Fresno region, is roughly 70% Latino. It is one of five Republican-held California seats Democrats believe they need to retake the House. And the party's Washington apparatus just told Latino voters there that it knows better than they do.

As CBS News reported, the DCCC earlier this month added Bains to its "Red to Blue" program, which unlocks fundraising and organizational support for candidates the committee believes are best positioned to flip Republican seats. The move triggered an unusually public and persistent feud that has drawn in progressive leaders, the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, and even the Republican campaign arm, each eager to use the dispute for its own purposes.

D.C. picks the candidate, locals push back

Villegas, the son of immigrants, did not mince words about what the DCCC's intervention means for his community.

"This is just another perfect example of D.C. elites and industry being out of touch with what people are actually feeling on the ground."

He framed the slight in blunt demographic terms. California's Proposition 50, the voter-approved mid-decade redistricting plan, redrew the 22nd District's boundaries, making it the most heavily Latino congressional district in the state. Villegas told CBS News that the party's decision to back Bains over him reinforces a complaint that has been building among Hispanic Democrats for years.

"The Democratic Party has taken Latino communities for granted. Far too late, far too little for Latino communities. And this is just another example of that."

The Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC issued a joint statement from co-chairs including Reps. Pramila Jayapal, Greg Casar, and Maxwell Frost, saying the caucus "disagrees with the DCCC's decision to attempt to tip the scales in this race." The Congressional Hispanic Caucus's campaign arm called Latino voters "central" to the fight for the House majority and pledged to stand with Villegas "every step of the way."

That kind of open revolt from two caucus campaign operations against the party's own House campaign committee is not normal. It signals a factional dispute that goes well beyond one Central Valley primary.

The electability argument, and its holes

DCCC chair Rep. Suzan DelBene of Washington defended the Bains endorsement on electability grounds. She praised Bains's record as a Bakersfield physician and noted that Bains ran more than seven points ahead of the top of the ticket in her 2024 state House race. Bains has won twice in her state legislative district, which overlaps heavily with the congressional seat.

DelBene said Bains would fight to "lower costs, expand access to health care, and strengthen public safety." Bains herself declined an interview but said in a statement she was proud to have the DCCC's support.

Delano city council member Mario Nunez, who said he has known Bains since before she ran for the state assembly, told CBS News that Bains has shown she "cared about what really mattered to Delano and people in the Valley."

But progressive leader David Hogg, who has campaigned for Villegas, challenged the committee's reasoning directly.

"There's really no case to be made that she's stronger. Randy is the stronger Democratic candidate in fundraising, endorsements and campaign momentum. And yet, the DCCC is backing a candidate who was the only Democrat to vote with Republicans against Prop 50, shares nearly 60 corporate donors with the Republican incumbent, and couldn't even show up to a vote forcing ICE agents to remove their masks. I mean, what are we even doing here?"

That is a damaging set of claims for a candidate whose entire pitch rests on electability. If Bains shares nearly 60 corporate donors with Republican incumbent David Valadao, voters in a 70% Latino district might reasonably wonder whose interests she plans to serve. And if she was the lone Democrat to vote with Republicans against the redistricting plan that reshaped her own district, the "team player" argument gets harder to make.

The pattern is familiar. Democratic leaders in Washington pick the candidate they believe checks the right boxes, moderate, credentialed, palatable to donors, and expect the base to fall in line. When the base doesn't, party insiders blame the voters rather than the strategy. It is the same dynamic that has fueled intraparty conflicts involving progressive members in recent years.

Republicans see an opening

The National Republican Congressional Committee wasted no time exploiting the fracture. The NRCC pointed to the 22nd District, along with a Pennsylvania race where moderate Bob Brooks defeated Hispanic Democrat Carol Obando-Derstine, as evidence that national Democrats are "sidelining Latino voices in favor of handpicked establishment picks."

NRCC Chair Rep. Richard Hudson of North Carolina told committee members in a recent briefing that "Hispanic voters are the most important voting bloc" heading into the midterms. The committee is highlighting a slate of Hispanic Republican candidates in battleground districts, including former federal prosecutor Eric Flores, Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina in Texas, and Marine veteran Greg Cunningham in New Mexico.

If elected, those candidates would join a growing roster of Hispanic GOP incumbents: Reps. María Elvira Salazar of Florida, Monica De La Cruz of Texas, Juan Ciscomani of Arizona, Gabe Evans of Colorado, and Nicole Malliotakis of New York. The Republican bench of Hispanic candidates is deeper than it has ever been, and Democrats keep handing them a talking point.

The numbers tell a stark story

The broader polling backdrop makes the DCCC's California gamble look even riskier. A recent Economist/YouGov survey put Democrats just two points ahead of Republicans among Hispanic voters on the generic congressional ballot. That margin was 40 points in 2018. It was nine points as recently as 2024.

President Trump carried roughly half the Hispanic vote in 2024, a 12-point improvement over 2020, and flipped longtime Democratic strongholds along the South Texas border. He carried more than half of Latino men, exit polls showed.

More recent CBS News polling, conducted May 13, 15, found Trump's job approval among Hispanic voters at 34%, with 66% disapproving, a sharp drop from the roughly 50% who approved at the start of his second term. Affordability and inflation were the dominant concerns. Approval of the administration's deportation program among Hispanics fell by a similar magnitude over the same stretch.

Democrats might look at those sliding Trump numbers and assume Hispanic voters will come home on their own. That assumption has failed before. And choosing to sideline a Latino progressive in the most Latino district in California is an odd way to signal that the party takes those voters seriously.

The broader question of how Democrats handle public safety and law enforcement messaging in diverse districts remains unresolved. Progressive leaders have repeatedly clashed with their own party over policing and accountability, as seen in recent controversies involving progressive officials downplaying attacks on police. Whether Villegas or Bains would better navigate that terrain in a general election against Valadao is exactly the kind of question the DCCC claims to have answered, but the evidence is thinner than the committee suggests.

The jungle primary wild card

California's top-two "jungle" primary system adds a layer of complexity. The June 2 primary will send the top two vote-getters to November regardless of party. Polling from Data for Progress, a group supporting Villegas's candidacy, shows Republican incumbent Valadao leading the primary field, with Villegas leading among Democratic candidates.

The University of Virginia's Center for Politics rates the seat a toss-up. It is considered the heaviest Democratic lift among the five redrawn California seats the party is targeting. That makes the DCCC's choice of champion all the more consequential, and all the more debatable.

The DCCC has pointed to its recruitment of Latino contenders in other frontline districts, including Texas's redrawn 15th District, where moderate candidate and Tejano music star Bobby Pulido will face De La Cruz in the general election. But one Texas recruit does not neutralize the message sent by overriding Latino grassroots energy in California's most heavily Hispanic district.

Villegas appears undeterred. He told CBS News his campaign has seen "a surge of support, both locally and all across the country." He has endorsements from Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and the Congressional Progressive Caucus. And he is making the argument that Democratic leaders keep dodging.

"Democratic insiders need to understand that we can't just offer people 'not Trump.' We have to be willing to offer people a vision for something better."

The real lesson for conservatives

For Republicans, the California 22nd is a case study in how not to court a constituency. Democrats spent years assuming Latino voters belonged to them by default. Now, as those voters drift toward the GOP on bread-and-butter issues like affordability and border security, the party's Washington establishment is responding by overruling Latino grassroots preferences in favor of a moderate hand-picked by committee staff.

The DCCC may be right that Bains is the safer general-election bet. Or it may be repeating the mistake that cost the party its historic edge with Hispanic voters in the first place: treating a community as a demographic line item rather than a coalition of citizens with agency, priorities, and memories.

Republicans don't need to win this argument. They just need Democrats to keep having it in public.

About Alex Tanzer

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